Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004170 0.004389 0.004614 0.004862 0.005130 0.005409 0.005724
2025-08-10 0.003762 0.004082 0.004425 0.004821 0.005269 0.005759 0.006341
2025-08-17 0.003581 0.003968 0.004394 0.004903 0.005497 0.006173 0.007007
2025-08-24 0.003389 0.003815 0.004297 0.004885 0.005590 0.006416 0.007470
2025-08-31 0.003223 0.003677 0.004199 0.004851 0.005650 0.006611 0.007871
2025-09-07 0.003065 0.003537 0.004087 0.004786 0.005661 0.006737 0.008185
2025-09-14 0.002925 0.003408 0.003980 0.004718 0.005658 0.006838 0.008463
2025-09-21 0.002837 0.003337 0.003938 0.004725 0.005746 0.007052 0.008898
2025-09-28 0.002684 0.003180 0.003781 0.004577 0.005624 0.006984 0.008941
2025-10-05 0.002611 0.003117 0.003739 0.004573 0.005687 0.007162 0.009329
2025-10-12 0.002579 0.003105 0.003759 0.004649 0.005858 0.007489 0.009943
2025-10-19 0.002502 0.003032 0.003698 0.004614 0.005875 0.007603 0.010253
2025-10-26 0.002431 0.002965 0.003642 0.004585 0.005899 0.007730 0.010595
2025-11-02 0.002361 0.002898 0.003584 0.004549 0.005912 0.007840 0.010915
2025-11-09 0.002339 0.002892 0.003607 0.004624 0.006085 0.008189 0.011625
2025-11-16 0.002284 0.002840 0.003565 0.004607 0.006122 0.008337 0.012025
2025-11-23 0.002226 0.002783 0.003514 0.004576 0.006135 0.008449 0.012372
2025-11-30 0.002162 0.002715 0.003446 0.004516 0.006104 0.008489 0.012598
2025-12-07 0.002100 0.002648 0.003378 0.004453 0.006064 0.008512 0.012797
2025-12-14 0.002065 0.002617 0.003358 0.004459 0.006129 0.008702 0.013293
2025-12-21 0.001983 0.002520 0.003242 0.004323 0.005969 0.008526 0.013132
2025-12-28 0.001949 0.002488 0.003218 0.004319 0.006015 0.008682 0.013575
2026-01-04 0.001941 0.002492 0.003244 0.004389 0.006177 0.009037 0.014404